CMIP5: Graphics and Tables

Plots of Climate Projections of Canada using CMIP5 data

A series of figures showing Canadian patterns of climate change computed from multi-model ensemble climate output gathered as part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5; Taylor et al., 2012) is presented. Projections are based on the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios. Maps are shown for three RCP scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) and time series plots show how the area-average response varies among these scenarios.

Time series of changes in temperature, relative precipitation, and snow depth are shown for Canadian land averages (averaged over land grid points in Canada).

Tables of twenty-year average changes in temperature, relative precipitation, and snow depth for the near term (2016-2035), mid term (2046-2065) and long term (2081-2100) are given, relative to a reference period of 1986-2005 based on RCP4.5. For each variable, the 25th, 50th and 75th percentiles of the distribution of the CMIP5 ensemble are provided.

Maps of projected change in climate are presented for Canada. Time period (annual mean) and seasonal averages of projected change in temperature, precipitation, snow depth, sea ice concentration, sea ice thickness and wind speed are available in map format. For each variable, the 25th, 50th and 75th percentiles of the distribution of the CMIP5 ensemble are shown. Please see technical notes for more details.

Time series plots: time series of change relative to 1986-2005 averaged over land grid points in Canada

Tables of temperature, precipitation, and snow depth change in 2016-2035, 2046-2065 and 2081-2100, relative to 1986-2005

Maps of change in 2016-2035, 2046-2065 and 2081-2100, relative to 1986-2005, for RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP8.5 scenarios

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